Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 2.543017 2.899955 3.279532 3.712211 4.190698 4.702593 5.290565
2024-12-22 1.888747 2.379658 2.943794 3.635235 4.454772 5.389915 6.532125
2024-12-29 1.535782 2.113490 2.823684 3.749126 4.910232 6.305169 8.092681
2025-01-05 1.276880 1.903592 2.721804 3.846335 5.327047 7.183730 9.657738
2025-01-12 1.036386 1.668703 2.542662 3.804528 5.540421 7.801511 10.919168
2025-01-19 0.885600 1.528571 2.463513 3.872713 5.885231 8.591926 12.431344
2025-01-26 0.761061 1.403709 2.383909 3.921162 6.192497 9.336126 13.908626
2025-02-02 0.662761 1.301958 2.321589 3.980289 6.507901 10.097268 15.435533
2025-02-09 0.567027 1.187361 2.222269 3.967512 6.707777 10.696050 16.754021
2025-02-16 0.478498 1.069462 2.100901 3.903407 6.817488 11.160658 17.892092
2025-02-23 0.420608 0.997616 2.046453 3.938152 7.075545 11.848577 19.375295
2025-03-02 0.358421 0.906036 1.945193 3.882152 7.180218 12.303850 20.525991
2025-03-09 0.319838 0.857766 1.919592 3.958528 7.512666 13.137244 22.302810
2025-03-16 0.276556 0.791510 1.852410 3.955360 7.713115 13.776265 23.815316
2025-03-23 0.255559 0.771775 1.873042 4.112564 8.194132 14.881241 26.092718
2025-03-30 0.233198 0.744432 1.874646 4.233111 8.617064 15.909345 28.287097
2025-04-06 0.200049 0.683056 1.797394 4.194650 8.754554 16.473988 29.764135
2025-04-13 0.180148 0.651900 1.780534 4.271504 9.101323 17.397122 31.846859
2025-04-20 0.160985 0.618425 1.753953 4.325322 9.406852 18.260768 33.859876
2025-04-27 0.144740 0.589585 1.734011 4.389980 9.734272 19.172280 35.979373
2025-05-04 0.126044 0.548542 1.679591 4.376383 9.910543 19.827301 37.691512
2025-05-11 0.107080 0.501247 1.603000 4.307000 9.972752 20.282101 39.078623
2025-05-18 0.095421 0.475338 1.576507 4.344713 10.245188 21.116826 41.133473